Blue Commonwealth Logo

Advanced Search
Menu

Make a New Account

Username:

Password:



Forget your username or password?


Become a Supporter
Like Blue Commonwealth? Want to help keep it running?
Contribute Today, and help keep our blog ad free!




Blog Roll
7 West
Albo Must Go
Anonymous is a Woman
Anti-BVBL
Article XI
Assembly Access
Augusta Free Press
Bacon's Rebellion
Blacknell
Blue Ridge Data
Blue Virginia
Blueweeds
Byrne-ing Up the Internet
Central VA Progressive
ChangeServant
Coarse Cracked Corn
CobaltVA
CvilleDave
The Daily Dogwood
Dem Bones
DemocracyUpsideDown
DemRulz
Equality Loudoun
Fairfax City Dems
WaPo - The Fix
Fred2Blue
Getting Around
Great Blue Heron
The Green Miles
Heartland of Va
Leesburg Tomorrow
Left of the Hill
New Dominion Project
Not Larry Sabato
Ox Road South Blog
Penning Thoughts
Powhatan Democrats
Renaissance Ruminations
River City Rapids
Rule .303
RockDem
Shad Plank
Sisyphus
SlantBlog
Southeast Virginia
Star City Harbinger
Tokatakiya
Too Progressive
United States of Jamerica
VB Dems
VB Progressives
Virginia Dem
The Virginia Democrat
WaPo - Virginia Politics Blog
Vivian Paige
Waldo Jaquith
Waldo's VA Political Blogroll
xcurmudgeon

Username: johnny longtorso
PersonId: 83
Created: Tue Apr 07, 2009 at 21:34:19 PM EDT
johnny longtorso's RSS Feed

Virginia House of Delegates Targets: Final Edition

by: johnny longtorso

Fri Oct 23, 2009 at 19:25:37 PM EDT

(Dem House candidates need your support! - promoted by kindler)

Likely D Lean D Tossup Lean R Likely R
35th (open)
23rd (Valentine)
44th (open)
51st (Nichols)
52nd (open)
64th (Barlow)
3rd (Bowling)
21st (Mathieson)
32nd (Poisson)
34th (Vanderhye)
42nd (Albo)
67th (Caputo)
86th (Rust)
93rd (Hamilton)
6th (Crockett-Stark)
13rd (B. Marshall)
17th (open)
83rd (Bouchard)
7th (Nutter)
14th (D. Marshall)
73rd (O'Bannon)

Ratings changes since last time:

3rd - moved to Tossup from Likely Democratic
6th - moved to Lean Republican from Tossup
7th - moved to Likely Republican from Lean Republican
14th - moved to Likely Republican from Lean Republican
17th - moved to Lean Republican from Tossup
23rd - moved to Lean Democratic from Likely Democratic
32nd - moved to Tossup from Likely Democratic
35th - (Re)added to the list at Likely Democratic
44th - moved to Lean Democratic from Likely Democratic
58th - dropped from the list
67th - moved to Tossup from Lean Democratic
82nd - dropped from the list
83rd - moved to Lean Republican (pickup) from Tossup
87th - dropped from the list
93rd - moved to Tossup from Lean Democratic (pickup)
94th - dropped from the list

There's More... :: (0 Comments, 2932 words in story)

Virginia House of Delegates Targets, Mid-September Edition

by: johnny longtorso

Sat Sep 19, 2009 at 08:21:18 AM EDT

( - promoted by KathyinBlacksburg)

Likely D Lean D Tossup Lean R Likely R
3rd (Bowling)
23rd (Valentine)
32nd (Poisson)
44th (open)
87th (Miller)
51st (Nichols)
52nd (open)
64th (Barlow)
67th (Caputo)
93rd (Hamilton)
6th (Crockett-Stark)
17th (open)
21st (Mathieson)
34th (Vanderhye)
42nd (Albo)
83rd (Bouchard)
86th (Rust)
7th (Nutter)
13rd (B. Marshall)
14th (D. Marshall)
58th (Bell)
73rd (O'Bannon)
82nd (Purkey)
94th (Oder)

Ratings changes since last time:

6th - moved to Tossup from Lean Republican (Pratt is running a spirited campaign; Crockett-Stark seems to be sleepwalking)
7th - moved to Lean Republican from Tossup (Deeds' sagging poll numbers are not going to help Frank)
21st - moved to Tossup from Lean Democratic (Tough race in McDonnell's home turf + embezzlement problem for Mathieson)
23rd - moved to Likely Democratic from Lean Democratic (huge cash advantage for Valentine)
26th - dropped from the list (Just doesn't look like it's there)
35th - dropped from the list (Keam is kicking Hyland's butt money-wise)
50th - dropped from the list (Rishell's campaign is terrible)
67th - moved to Lean Democratic from Likely Democratic (Caputo underperforms)
93rd - moved to Lean Democratic (pickup) from Tossup (Hamilton scandal)
94th - moved to Likely Republican from Lean Republican (3-1 cash advantage for Oder)

There's More... :: (12 Comments, 2725 words in story)

Virginia House of Delegates Targets: Post-Primary/Second Quarter Fundraising Update

by: johnny longtorso

Sat Jul 18, 2009 at 15:56:22 PM EDT

( - promoted by KathyinBlacksburg)

Well, the primary is over a month past us, and the second quarter fundraising reports are in, so I've updated my list. I've added a couple of Democratic seats to watch (the 6th and the 87th) and dropped a Republican seat (the 60th). The list, including a nice little chart cribbed from SSP's Senate ratings, are below the jump.
There's More... :: (7 Comments, 2480 words in story)

House of Delegates Targets, Pre-Primary Edition

by: johnny longtorso

Sat Jun 06, 2009 at 12:38:11 PM EDT

( - promoted by kindler)

(Crossposted at Swing State Project)

I decided to take a closer look at the House of Delegates races that are going to be crucial to the control of the chamber. What I've come away with is that while Democrats have a number of good targets, it will be an uphill battle to claim the six seats needed to win control of the House. My list follows below the jump. Please let me know if any districts have escaped my attention.

There's More... :: (3 Comments, 1256 words in story)

BC Reader Poll: Governor

by: johnny longtorso

Sat May 30, 2009 at 12:18:59 PM EDT

Well, my Lt. Governor poll was a rousing success, with Mike Signer winning in an 11-3 landslide over Jody Wagner. Poor Bill Bolling tied for third with undecided, each getting... zero. So, how about we do the same for Governor, hmm?

Obligatory bias disclaimer: I support Deeds/Wagner/Shannon.

Discuss :: (1 Comments)

BC Reader Poll: Lieutenant Governor

by: johnny longtorso

Fri May 22, 2009 at 19:50:19 PM EDT

I'm not much of a diary person, but I've been struck by how much coverage the Lt. Governor's race has been gotten, and how overwhelmingly favored Mike Signer seems to be on the blogs. I just thought I'd put up a poll to gauge the support of the Blue Commonwealth constituency at-large for Lt. Governor. I've even put in Bill Bolling to be inclusive, although if you vote for him you'd better be ready to explain it.

Obligatory bias disclaimer: I support Deeds/Wagner/Shannon.

Discuss :: (1 Comments)
Recent Comments

Blue Commonwealth is a community forum for the discussion of political issues of interest to Virginians.
The opinions expressed by users of this website do not necessarily reflect the views of Blue Commonwealth or its editors.
Powered by: SoapBlox