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Username: DCCyclone
PersonId: 23
Created: Thu Apr 02, 2009 at 23:18:32 PM EDT
DCCyclone's RSS Feed

Deeds' internal polling says...

by: DCCyclone

Wed Oct 07, 2009 at 22:08:35 PM EDT

...Deeds down only 5, per Politico.  That makes me feel a little better after the most recent Rasmussen and SUSA polls.  And it's consistent with WaPo's last poll, which I always say commissions the most accurate election polls for Virginia, D.C., and Maryland.

Deeds still is in trouble.  He needs a positive message, which he simply hasn't had.  The thesis stuff is done, it's had its impact and run its course.  And more troublesome, the most recent McDonnell and RGA attack ads, airing Deeds' embarrassing post-debate video from a few weeks ago, are very good and I fear they'll work.  It's better to just say up front you'll agree to tax hikes as the only honest way to pay for transportation improvements, rather than look two-faced and/or confused as Deeds looks in that video.

But if Deeds is really down 5 right now, he still has a real chance.  If he pivots and closes strong.  Trouble is, pivoting means doing something he should've done months ago and still hasn't done all this time.  So I'm not optimistic.

Discuss :: (5 Comments)

HD-34: Come to Vanderhye Canvass Kickoff!

by: DCCyclone

Tue Sep 15, 2009 at 21:46:46 PM EDT

( - promoted by KathyinBlacksburg)

Margi Vanderhye is our freshman Delegate in District 34, and she's the top Democratic target of the Virginia GOP this fall, as discussed in House race discussions (actual discussions linked) at our companion blogs New Dominion Project and Not Larry Sabato.

Margi is a great Delegate who took this seat from the GOP in 2007 after longtime GOP Delegate Vince Callahan retired.  She has managed to keep both liberals and moderates in the district happy.

But the district, while voting strongly Democratic in almost every key race the past several years, still is a swing district that Republicans can win.  Pat Herrity beat Sharon Bulova here in the Fairfax County Board Chair special election earlier this year, and Congressman Frank Wolf always carries the 34th in his reelections.  And now Barbara Comstock, a longtime hard right Beltway GOP attack dog on the national scene, is looking to start her own elective career at our expense in the 34th.

(How you can help below the fold)

There's More... :: (0 Comments, 120 words in story)

GREAT Fundraising News for Deeds!......

by: DCCyclone

Tue Sep 15, 2009 at 19:19:18 PM EDT

( - promoted by KathyinBlacksburg)

The Virginia Beach Pilot reports great and perhaps surprising news today......
There's More... :: (1 Comments, 226 words in story)

Deeds gaining black support off Joe Wilson???......

by: DCCyclone

Fri Sep 11, 2009 at 21:50:52 PM EDT

Buried in a story in Politico about mouth-breathing heckler Joe Wilson the talk of a DNC meeting, there is...
There's More... :: (0 Comments, 180 words in story)

VA-Gov: the state of the race

by: DCCyclone

Tue Aug 11, 2009 at 22:54:04 PM EDT

As we sit here in the mid-August doldrums, I've collected my thoughts into a summary of where we stand for November.
There's More... :: (0 Comments, 808 words in story)

RNC polled me on VA-Gov tonight, and...

by: DCCyclone

Wed Jun 24, 2009 at 22:28:24 PM EDT

(It is always helpful to know what the opposition is up to, so please keep these reports and insights coming - promoted by Teddy Goodson)'s fascinating stuff.

This is actually the SECOND time I've been polled in a short time, the first back in early June right before the primary.  That first poll was a robopoll, and very short, just a few questions that took a minute or two.

Tonight was a more comprehensive poll with a live caller, with a mix of neutral, "message-testing," and demographic questions.  It took about 15 minutes.

The trial heat test question, McDonnell vs. Deeds, came in the middle of the poll.

What I found the most interesting as a respondent were a few of the message-testing questions.

There's More... :: (15 Comments, 546 words in story)
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