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Happy 233rd Birthday, USA! What will happen next?
Earlier this year George Friedman, a founder and CEO of the well-respected STRATFOR,( "the world's leading private intelligence and forecasting company," according to the jacket blurb) and author of several cutting-edge analyses including The Future of War and America's Secret War, pulled it all together in a new edition of his crystal ball, titled The Next 100 Years: a Forecast for the 21st Century. Mr. Friedman is writing for Americans, he wants to sell his services so he has certain biases; and events move so fast today he may be overtaken by them before his trend lines can work themselves out as predicted. Nonetheless, his book is fascinating as much for the glimpse it offers of how a disciplined analyst and strategic thinker goes about looking over the horizon as for what he says will happen. First, what does he see?
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