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Brian Moran

Would McAuliffe Have Been a Stronger Candidate? Maybe, Maybe Not

by: Elaine in Roanoke

Tue Oct 13, 2009 at 10:51:10 AM EDT

The New York Times today has a story that discusses whether Democrats in Virginia are now having "buyers remorse" because Creigh Deeds handily won the June primary for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination, not Terry McAuliffe.

While I firmly believe that such musings - if applicable - should happen in the post-election period, since the Times has devoted much space to the question and since it is being picked up on the Internet (i.e., Not Larry Sabato), here are my thoughts - all the while hoping that Creigh Deeds will turn this thing around in the next three weeks.

When Sen. Deeds defeated Terry McAuliffe, former Democratic Party chairman and confidante of Bill and Hillary Rodham Clinton, to be the Democratic nominee for governor of Virginia, the argument among many Democrats was that Deeds, a centrist Democrat from rural Virginia, would be the strongest of the three primary candidates in a general election.

Now, some - like Adam Nagourney of the Times - are questioning that assumption. His questioning itself, however, needs a hard look.

There's More... :: (0 Comments, 793 words in story)

For Moran & McAuliffe, this is just the beginning.

by: Chris Guy

Thu Jun 11, 2009 at 00:44:40 AM EDT

( - promoted by kindler)

Obviously things are looking pretty good for Creigh Deeds right now as the Democratic nominee for Governor, but what about those other guys? Is this the end of the world for Brian Moran and Terry McAuliffe? Both were once frontrunners. Both had more money and staff than Sen. Deeds. And they blew it! It's over for them! Right? Well, as Lee Corso would say: "Not so fast my friend."

For one thing, Democratic unity means not only good things for Deeds in November, but good things for Brian & Terry in 2010 and beyond. Sen. Deeds earned the admiration of many Moran & McAuliffe voters, and the feeling is mutual. You don't have to hope that these two guys will work their butts off for Creigh, JodyWagner, & Steve Shannon this year, you know they will.

Cross-Posted at Fred2Blue

There's More... :: (12 Comments, 636 words in story)

Creigh Deeds - next Governor of Virginia

by: alankrishnan

Wed Jun 10, 2009 at 08:58:15 AM EDT

Cross Posted:

http://www.dailykos.com/story/...

The most gentle and lovable politician Creigh Deeds decisively won the Democratic nomination for next Governor of Virginia. He will face a second battle with Bob McDonnell in November, with a difference that this time around he will strike a resounding victory, unlike the last time when he suffered a close defeat.

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VA-Gov - SUSA confirms PPP - Deeds by double digits

by: teacherken

Mon Jun 08, 2009 at 12:21:17 PM EDT

NOTE - promoted on basis of being breaking news story.  This is final poll we expect on the campaign.

Survey USA has just released this statewide poll whose topline numbers are as follows:

Deeds 42
McAuliffe 30
Moran 21

the 12 point margin is roughly equivalent to the 14 points in the PPP released yesterday.

Deeds also does best against McDonnell, losing by 4, while with McAuliffe it is 7 and Moran it is 11.

And a few snips explaining the turnaround:

In the Washington DC suburbs, Deeds tripled his support, from 12% in April to today 40%. SurveyUSA's detailed analysis of Primary voting in 4 NE VA counties, released just 7 days ago, today looks like ancient history.

Among those who do not own a gun, Deeds tripled his support, from 13% to today 42%.

Among women, Deeds tripled his support, from 13% to today 40%.

Among those who attend religious services regularly, Deeds doubled his support, from 20% to today 44%.

More below

There's More... :: (20 Comments, 233 words in story)

BREAKING NEWS - PPP HAS DEEDS UP BY 14

by: teacherken

Sun Jun 07, 2009 at 22:46:34 PM EDT

Just posted here

40-26-24 with Moran in 3rd

Deeds leading everywhere except Hampton Roads, up by 2 in NoVa.

NOTE -  Poll has Wagner up 41-12 over Signer for LG  

Some Cross-tabs Below the fold

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Head of Students for Moran (VaTech) switches to Deeds

by: teacherken

Sun Jun 07, 2009 at 16:31:24 PM EDT

Aimee Fausser, whom I believe just graduated from Virginia Tech, has switched to Creigh Deeds.  She has this post up at New Dominion Project from which I quote:

Creigh Deeds is not afraid to fight for what he believes in. One of the positions I most admire was Creigh's attempt to broker a compromise to close the gun show loophole. Creigh's positions are pragmatic and he has shown real leadership, proving to be more concerned with creating actual progress in Virginia than taking an easy position. The other day, I saw this clip of Brian Moran calling Creigh a radical on gun issues. This is ridiculous to me, and really made me upset with Brian. I feel that the negativity that is coming from Brian and Terry's campaigns stands in contrast to the campaign Creigh has run, and of the three races, I think Creigh's exemplifies best what Virginia needs moving forward.

Read Aimee's entire post.  

See update below the fold.

There's More... :: (3 Comments, 384 words in story)

10,000 Signs

by: legacyofmarshall

Sun Jun 07, 2009 at 13:36:01 PM EDT

Cross-posted at Daily Kos

Not one week ago, yard signs advertising candidates for this Tuesday's Democratic Primary for Governor were few and far between, even in highly-political Northern Virginia, and the name "Creigh Deeds" was nowhere to be found.

That all changed on Wednesday, 3 June, when a whopping 10,000 Deeds yard signs arrived at the Deeds campaign office in Fairfax.  By Thursday, fewer than half were put together and only a few hundred were placed.  However, volunteers soon got to work making a Deeds presence throughout the region.

There's More... :: (12 Comments, 232 words in story)

Questioning Others' Hearts Based on Whether, or Not, They Support Brian

by: KathyinBlacksburg

Wed Jun 03, 2009 at 09:34:05 AM EDT

[Disclaimer: I support Terry McAuliffe for Governor.]

My good friend thinks that, if you care about equality, therefore, you must support Brian Moran.  I care deeply about equality, but I don't agree that a Moran vote is required.  Indeed it is in part because of Moran's waffling on the subject that I do not support him.  

I say that as a person who thinks this issue is at the top of the list of important issues.  As I have said many times, you can tell a lot about how a person thinks and acts regarding those whom society has tired to marginalize.  There is just no substitute for full marriage -and other equal rights for all, no exceptions.  And the bashing of human beings for who they are must stop.  Period.   But it won't.  And so we are left to try to get those who would try to control others' private lives to back off.

But this presumption by my friend explains something to me.  It makes we realize that perhaps this is one of the reasons why some of my pro-Moran friends are so angry at those disagreeing with them.  Could it be they do not fully get the inconsistency in Moran's history on the subject?  Have they just not looked, or do they explain it away because they like Brian?  Do they believe his promise to repeal Marshall-Newman will lead to where we want to be?  I don't know the answer to any of these.  There may be other explanations.  Many of them believe, I think erroneously, that Brain Moran's history is consistent, strong, and unequivocal.  Indeed his campaign and its many bloggers keep telling us so.  It's enough to make almost anyone believe it...almost.

There's More... :: (10 Comments, 1037 words in story)

BC Reader Poll: Governor

by: johnny longtorso

Sat May 30, 2009 at 12:18:59 PM EDT

Well, my Lt. Governor poll was a rousing success, with Mike Signer winning in an 11-3 landslide over Jody Wagner. Poor Bill Bolling tied for third with undecided, each getting... zero. So, how about we do the same for Governor, hmm?

Obligatory bias disclaimer: I support Deeds/Wagner/Shannon.

Discuss :: (1 Comments)

The Governor's race heats up - from Anita Kumar

by: teacherken

Fri May 29, 2009 at 17:45:38 PM EDT

from her blog at the Washington Post.

Deeds is upset at Terry's new ad on the 2002 vote on payday lending and saying that only Terry is for ending payday lending.  Deeds spokesman Brooke Borkenhagen notes that the 2002 bill was intended to regulate payday lending and was supported by Mark Warner, which is why Dems in the general assembly at the time supported it.  

She notes that just this year, when Deeds was the only candidate to be serving the General Assembly, he worked to get passed a crackdown on the lenders. "You've got to look at what they've done, not just what they say."

All three campaigns have now called for an end to payday lending.  

Also of interest is that Moran campaign has decided to go over Terry as a banker.  Note the following two paragraphs:

Meanwhile, Moran campaign manager Andrew Roos today wrote federal regulators, asking that they release documents from their examination of the Federal City National Bank, which McAuliffe became chairman of at age 30 in 1988.

In 1991, federal regulators found the bank had engaged in "unsafe, unsound banking practices." Federal City was merged with another bank, a move McAuliffe has said stabilized the institution and cites as an example of his ability to turn around struggling businesses.

Wonder if any of this will come up at either NoVa Jeff Jack (Prince William on Saturday, Fairfax on Sunday) this weekend?

Discuss :: (0 Comments)

Chesapeake City Committee Straw Poll Results

by: Dan Sullivan

Thu May 28, 2009 at 21:27:09 PM EDT

The Chesapeake City Democratic Committee held a straw poll at the regular meeting tonight. 31 members present:

Governor:

McAuliffe.....21
Moran..........5
Deeds..........5

Lt Governor:

Wagner........24
Signer...........1

Discuss :: (0 Comments)

Creigh Deeds Buoyed By WaPo Endorsement

by: Dan Sullivan

Mon May 25, 2009 at 17:42:09 PM EDT

(Terrific coverage of Creigh by a supporter of another candidate - promoted by kindler)

Senator Deeds addressed a regular breakfast gathering of the Virginia Beach Democratic Committee Saturday and he showed a bounce in his step and high level of energy as he discussed his campaign. The Memorial Day weekend did not dampen the attendance and Deeds drew in supporters from across the region.

The endorsement by the Washington Post led off Senator Deeds' comments and he explained that it had been a surprise, particularly when he was up against two hometown guys. He called the editor up, he told the group, to tell him that he'd shocked him. Asking the editor what it was that captured the support, the answer was that there were two things: first, throughout his time in office, he'd done things that weren't necessarily in his own political interest, he'd done things because they were right; second, he knows exactly what he wants to do and the order to do it in; he has a plan.

Deeds recalled the 1977 victory of Henry Howell in the Democratic primary over a highly favored opponent and commented: "Primaries are unpredictable events. There's all kinds of polling all over the place. The only constant trend in the polling is that one candidate is climbing. One candidate is climbing; that's me."
There's More... :: (6 Comments, 779 words in story)

Of polls and straw polls - a brief reflection on the state of Virginia's politics

by: teacherken

Thu May 21, 2009 at 07:12:55 AM EDT

Yesterday we got the results of two straw polls and one public poll from SUSA.  Those paying attention also know there is a PPP poll in the field whose results are likely to be out in next few days.

Each of the 3 gubernatorial campaigns and/or their supporters are trumpeting the results that make them look good while ignoring those that could be warning signs.  So perhaps there should be some reality checking going on.

I come to this not as a statistician, although I have a fair amount of statistical training from my doctoral work in education.  Also, since I teach government, I spend the better part of a week teaching my Advanced Placement students about the different types of polls, including how to look at cross-tabs where available.

And I add to that the words I heard last night at Brigades, where someone urging people to a Jeff-Jack dinner reminded the people present there would be a straw poll, so get your supporters out to do well.

And I note again I am supporting Creigh Deeds and Mike Signer in the contested races.

There's More... :: (11 Comments, 1504 words in story)

Terry McAuliffe Holds Double Digit Lead in SUSA Poll

by: kyleblankenship

Wed May 20, 2009 at 20:00:12 PM EDT

Today's SUSA poll is as follows:

Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.5%

If the Democratic Primary for Virginia Governor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Creigh Deeds? Terry McAuliffe? Or Brian Moran?

26% Deeds
37% McAuliffe
22% Moran
14% Other / Undecided

Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 2.4%

Regardless of what you told us about the June 9th primary, thinking ahead now to the GENERAL election in November... If the only two names on the ballot for Governor of Virginia were Republican Bob McDonnell and ... Democrat Creigh Deeds, who would you vote for?

46% McDonnell (R)
40% Deeds (D)
15% Undecided

Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 2.4%

What if the only two names on the November ballot were ... Bob McDonnell and Democrat Terry McAuliffe?

46% McDonnell (R)
40% McAuliffe (D)
13% Undecided

Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 2.4%

What if it was Bob McDonnell against Democrat Brian Moran?

47% McDonnell (R)
37% Moran (D)
16% Undecided

For complete analysis, please see:

http://bluevablog.blogspot.com...

Discuss :: (1 Comments)

To Brian Moran: It's time to refocus and cut the crap

by: Joel McDonald

Tue May 19, 2009 at 23:28:14 PM EDT

Terry McAuliffe campaigning for Barack ObamaBrian Moran launched a radio ad on prodominately African American radio stations which makes the argument that Terry McAuliffe should not be the Democratic nominee for the next Governor of Virginia because he worked against President Barack Obama's election during the 2008 Democratic Primary, while serving as Chair of Hillary Clinton's campaign for the nomination.

I'm disturbed by this ad on many levels. While I know why the campaign would target African Americans, just as this did with an ad featuring the testimonial from former Delegate Mary Christian of Hampton, and that running this ad directly counters McAuliffe's ad taking credit for the election of Obama, this sort of identity politics, or "race baiting" as Ben Tribbett would say, bothers me. This is the sort of politics that Howard Dean, on the eve of Barack Obama's inauguration, said was over.

The Moran campaign is playing catch-up with African American voters who are currently favoring McAuliffe in the polls. From the onset of his campaign, McAuliffe has targeted this demographic; perhaps hoping that the energy of 2008 will carry over to 2009. Every candidate in this race, including the Republican nominee, is trying to bank on Obama's popularity, directly or indirectly.

There's More... :: (1 Comments, 397 words in story)

Taylor Marsh says "Just don't vote for Brian Moran"

by: Dan Sullivan

Tue May 19, 2009 at 11:42:48 AM EDT

As an Obama supporter from the get-go, I still understand the angst generated in the Hillary supporter community concerning the tone Moran's campaign has taken. Progressive blogger Taylor Marsh expresses hers in an excellent Huffington Post rail today. Lowell has a synopsis at Blue Virginia.
Discuss :: (0 Comments)

Phone from Home for Brian Moran

by: Jerome Armstrong

Mon May 18, 2009 at 16:37:57 PM EDT

Showing once again that Brian Moran is the candidate with the grassroots activity, he's released a new tool for the over 800 activists signed up on Organize Virginia to get involved with helping Moran win the Democratic nomination.

There are only 22 days left in the primary, and Brian Moran needs your help to get out the vote. We've just launched a cool new tool on Organize Virginia that will allow you to make phone calls from home.

Click here to get started.

This primary will be decided by turnout. We know why we're backing Brian Moran - he's got the strongest plans for the environment, energy, and health care and a proven record of getting results in Richmond.

Thanks to your energy, Organize Virginia has grown into a vibrant online grassroots community with one purpose in mind: electing Brian Moran Governor of Virginia.

On Organize Virginia you can now phone bank from home.  Help spread the word, log into Organize Virginia now and get started.

Discuss :: (0 Comments)

A Night with will.i.am of the Black Eyed Peas

by: alankrishnan

Tue May 12, 2009 at 00:44:18 AM EDT

Cross Posted in Daily Kos

11:00 PM, Monday May 11, 2009. Amazing coincidence - 11-11-11-11! The hour is 11, 11 alphabets, date is 11 and the sum of the year is 11! What a magical experience, attending a concert by will.i.am at the Clarendon Ballroom in Arlington Virginia.  The crowd was electric, mostly in their 20's and 30's but a fair sprinkling of 40's and 50's as well.  While the crowd waited for the star, a DJ kept spirits high by playing music with a beat that kept most tapping their feet.  Not sure what the capacity of the ballroom is, but it was pretty full and when I left at about 11:00, there was no letting down on the music or enthusiasm.

There's More... :: (5 Comments, 613 words in story)

McDonnell's Tracker Skips Moran VBDC Breakfast

by: Dan Sullivan

Sun May 10, 2009 at 10:34:02 AM EDT

Maybe Bob McDonnell's campaign has decided to run against the Democratic Party writ large. That might explain why his tracker is ever-present when Terry McAuliffe is in town, but was missing yesterday. I told him at the Norfolk Terry Town Hall, we were much more hospitable than the local Republicans.

For those of you new to Virginia politics, the Republicans became quite camera shy after former Governor George Allen (R) distinguished himself by referring to S. R. Sidarth, who was tracking Allen for the James Webb campaign, as "Macaca." (Don't you love a gift that keeps on giving?) All filming was halted at any Virginia Beach Republican Committee event. When I asked for permission, I was invited by a committee official to present my case at a regular committee meeting. There, I was summarily removed from the meeting on a motion by state Senator Ken Stolle (R-8th) who justified the action by citing the 4th Amendment of the U.S. Constitution. Of course, using the concept of freedom of assembly to remove an invitee is a novel concept, but I digress. Maybe that is why he wants to be Sheriff rather than work as a lawyer.

So, I told the tracker at Terry's event that he was welcome whenever there was a Democratic event locally, despite the insular and paranoid behavior by Taliban Bob's hometown committee. He looked at me in shock, jotted something down and I hoped yesterday to buy him breakfast. Unfortunately, he was nowhere to be seen.

There's More... :: (0 Comments, 171 words in story)

Brian Moran Thanks Military Families

by: Eileen

Sun May 10, 2009 at 09:44:15 AM EDT

(Promoted as a purely positive piece by a supporter of the candidate in question - promoted by kindler)

militarykids1While in Virginia Beach for his office opening yesterday, Brian Moran thanked military families for their sacrifice and service to our county on the heels of Friday's celebration of Military Spouses Day. "There is no more sacred commitment that our nation makes than to our military members, their families and our veterans," Moran said.

Last year, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates presented Brian Moran with an award for his work on behalf of Our Military Kids, a nonprofit foundation for giving more than $1 million to the families of deployed or wounded National Guard and Reserve members. "Military children may experience a deep sense of loss when they have a parent serving far from home," Gates said.  "Organizations like this one make our military kids feel special and loved," he said.

"We are greatly indebted to Brian for his strong advocacy of the program," Our Military Kids Co-Founder Gail Kruzel said. "Thanks to Brian, we have been able to provide additional benefits to the children of Virginia's deployed. Virginia's support of the program sets the benchmark for other states to emulate."

Reflecting on the 2008 award yesterday, Brian said "I wanted to make sure military families know that we appreciate the sacrifice they make for our nation. And, especially to the children of our military service members, they need to know that while their moms and dads aren't home, they are doing the bravest thing they can and helping to keep millions of families safe."

There's More... :: (0 Comments, 135 words in story)
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