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xcurmudgeon

What an Oil Spill Looks Like Off Hampton Roads

by: Teddy Goodson

Tue Oct 06, 2009 at 22:26:58 PM EDT


( - promoted by Teddy Goodson)

"Drill, baby, drill!" is a significant part of Republican gubernatorial candidate Bob McDonnell's much touted Jobs Program, and even of his transportation plans, since it is Mr. McDonnell's claim that drilling for oil off Virginia Beach-Hampton Roads will create jobs in Virginia, and royalties from such drilling will help to fund transportation. This fits right in with the national Republican Party's insistence that the US can solve its energy crisis by accessing its own reserves of petroleum wherever found, even in national parks, and which casually dismisses objections from environmentalists worried about global warming fueled in part by the burning of fossil fuels ("it's a hoax") and more specific fears of toxic oil spills ("modern drilling rigs don't have oil spills").  McDonnell makes it all sound so easy, so effortless, and it even makes money ----- why, kudos to McDonnell.

Wait a minute, here's new information: Australia is right now struggling with a massive oil spill in the Sea of Timor off its northern coast, a spill which, as of September 3rd covered 9,000 square miles, larger than the state of Vermont, and still growing. The leaking oil rig is one of the new ones, the well was drilled in 2007. So much for no-leak drilling. Using satellite imagery of the Australian spill and computer graphics, the Sierra Club has created a diagram showing where a similar oil spill would impact Virginia's coast if it occurred in Lease Area 220 off Hampton Roads.  This is the lease area presently slated for off shore drilling. http://hrsierraclub.org/VASkyT...

Teddy Goodson :: What an Oil Spill Looks Like Off Hampton Roads
Oil company estimates are that 400 barrels of petroleum per day are leaking in Australia, amounting to well over 750,000 gallons since the blowout on 21 August. Other estimates, based on actual oil flows recorded from nearby wells, run at 3,000 barrels per day, which means that over 6 million gallons may have poured out, forming an ugly, toxic blanket spreading further each day. For comparison, the Exxon Valdez oil spill in Prince William Sound, Alaska, totaled 11 million gallons in 1989.  While this image does not take into consideration local winds and currents, it gives you an idea of the potential in Virginia.  SkyTruth produces satellite images and digital mapping, and is recognized for its mapping of oil spills in the Gulf of Mexico after Katrina (see SkyTruth.org).  

As diagramed, an oil spill in the proposed field off Hampton Roads could easily shut down Virginia's coastal tourism and fisheries industries, with its impact reaching from the coast of Virginia Beach-Hampton Roads as far south as Nags Head, and have a devastating effect on Virginia's economy.  Glen Besa, Director of the Virginia Chapter of the Sierra Club, pointed out that

"All it takes is one spill to virtually shut down Virginia's coastal economy, both tourism and fisheries, for years.  Oil is still disrupting the natural environment in Prince William Sound 20 years after the Exxon Valdez spill."

Virginia's commercial and recreational fishing industry generated a total of $1.23 billion and 13,015 jobs for the economy of Virginia.  Last year, tourism in Virginia Beach alone generated over $1.5 billion in revenue and almost 12,000 jobs. Even the rosiest estimates of job creation by drilling off Virginia's coast cannot outpace the economic contribution of Virginia's coastal tourism and fisheries industries---- and there is no guarantee that any future oil jobs will go to local Virginians anyway. Why exchange 25,015 certain jobs possibly lost to a toxic spill for some maybe future jobs creating the toxic spill?

Surprisingly, there are coral reefs in the offshore Norfolk and Washington ocean canyons, and these reefs harbor economically valuable ecosystems which could be utterly devastated by an oil spill, not to mention the numerous endangered species also found off Hampton Roads.  All this would be at risk as well if drilling begins in the designated Virginia areas.

Bob McDonnell's grand proposal to drill for oil to create jobs and royalties, and thus solve unemployment and budget shortfalls, begins to look rather unlikely, especially when you realize how long (years) it actually takes to bring an underwater oil field into production.  The jobs are questionable, job loss rather than creation is quite possible, and there is no guarantee that the federal government will share any oil royalties with Virginia, so there goes one of McDonnell's transportation funding mechanisms.

Then there is the US Navy, which not only has a major base in Norfolk but utilizes for training the very offshore area subject to drilling.  The Navy has indicated it would prefer not to run through a maze of oil rigs to get to its base.  It's not too far fetched to ask: what happens if the Navy decides to move many of its operations to, say, Mayport in Florida? As a matter of fact, owners of commercial vessels approaching the port of Newport News do not like the idea, either; collisions with oil rigs is another possible problem (thus creating an oil spill).

It all sounded like such a good idea in the beginning, but when examined in the light of day Bob McDonnell's plans become, well, impractical: time lag until the oil begins flowing, iffy jobs, iffy royalties, adverse environmental impacts, annoyed major local employer (US Navy)....

So, where's the beef in your drill, baby drill hamburger, Mr. McDonnell?

Based primarily on information from
Eileen Levandoski, Hampton Roads Organizer, Sierra Club, 5 October 2009

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Spills (0.00 / 0)
You have pipelines that cross the state.  You have crude and refined product carriers that go to the Port of Virginia.  You have a refinery at Yorktown.  We could spill a lot of oil today.  But the fact is we don't.  Spills are not frequent.  And incidents of spills the size of that rig off Australia's coast are very rare.  Pointing to that and then extrapolating that to be indicative of the safety of the US Oil industry or something that could happen off the coast of Virginia is a spurious argument to say the least.  It is scare tactics.  And frankly it impugns companies who take safety very seriously.

Vessel collisions with oil rigs another piece of ridiculousness.  The Texas and Louisiana Gulf have numerous rigs off there coast, a veritable maze of them.  Yet, the Port of Southern Louisiana and the Port of Houston are the largest ports in America by tonnage.  You have VLCCs offloading at Louisiana Offshore Oil Port.  And how many times in the last few decades have you heard of a VLCC (which average 178 ft in breadth) hitting an oil rig?

There are certainly good arguments to be made against offshore drilling in Virginia, but this is not one of them.


The point is... (0.00 / 0)
The Australian rig involved with this disastrous blowout was built in 2007. The platform involved was built in 2008. This is the same "new technology" that the oil industry is suggesting for use in Virginia waters.

As illustrated here, all it takes is one spill to reek havoc on our coastal environment and economies. Do we really want to/ need to take that risk?  You simply cannot deny that risk.  

Thanks, Teddy, for posting this!

VB Dems, blogging our way to Democratic wins in Virginia Beach!


[ Parent ]
Wow! (0.00 / 0)
With that view of risk, do you ever leave your house?  =)  You are more likely to injure yourself with office supplies than for an offshore platform to spill oil.  But my God, you still use pencils and pens, right?  

Based on your low threshold there, we should not drive cars, ride bicycles, fly in airplanes, ride in boats, use ladders, leave the house in a thunderstorm, etc...  We should also cut all those trees down from our yards for fear of them falling.  Because it only takes one tree falling to kill you.  And that risk is out there, you can't deny it. =P

The spill rate has been declining.  For platforms, MMS's most recent rate for spills over 1,000 bbls is 0.32 per billion barrels of oil handled.  The rate for spills over 10,000 bbls is 0.12.  And then if you look at recent history, it's even lower.  For 2009, MMS reports only 5 spills greater than 50 barrels.  They total 2,435 barrels.

Plus, as you and others have pointed out most of the production is probably going to be natural gas.  And you can't spill gas.


[ Parent ]
Risk is relative (0.00 / 0)
and figuring odds in a subjective vs scientific manner does not result in reasonable decisions, as has been proven over and over, so you have a point. On the other hand, even Dick Cheney figured some risks were too important to be allowed because, if the proposed action (or in-action) failed, the failure would result in unthinkable, possibly fatal events---- hence his "One Percent Doctrine."

What I am saying is that the results of just one big oil leak or blow-out off Hampton Roads would have devastating impact on Virginia's tourist and fishing industries, and claims that modern techniques limit or even eliminate serious oil spills is proven wrong by the Australian problem. The street theatre by Sierra Club, showing how the Australian leak would look if it occurred off Hampton Roads, is not unreasonable in order to make the point. Since there are other answers to our dependency on foreign oil, why risk such a disaster? Besides, should we not save our remaining oil for our grandchildren, who may well need it for other purposes than burning it up in internal combustion engines?

And then there is the question of Virginia receiving any part of the royalties; Alaska is unique in that respect; Louisiana gets no royalties, as I understand it, so why would Virginia? That's another ooops! in McDonnell's grand plan.  


[ Parent ]
Risk is relative? (0.00 / 0)
Risk, I don't think is relative.  Your response to it may vary.  And depending on your response, the residual amount of risk will vary.

The Australian spill absolutely does not disprove that safety in US production operations has not improved.  It doesn't prove that there is a material threat of a spill of that size on any of our current rigs or ones that we will build.  As far as I know, we don't know what caused the spill.  We don't know the safety and operational compliance procedures of the company in question.  To say that this one incident speaks to US production operations as a whole is ludicrous.  It would be like saying BP's safety record is indicative of Shell's or Exxon's operations.  Or like saying because you smoke in bed and burned down your house, that the risk is the same for me.

And yes, it is absolutely unreasonable.  It is like throwing up a map showing the potential for radioactive fallout if the reactors at North Anna melted down.  And then saying, we should not construct another nuclear plant for fear of the remote risk of a catastrophic occurrence like that.  If oil spills were like car accidents, then yeah, you would have a point.

The failures of McDonnell's plan for offshore drilling I have pointed out numerous times.  I included them in a diary that was a guest post on Vivian Paige's site.  I'm not saying that there aren't valid arguments against his plan, but this is not one of them.  Dan Sullivan had excellent points on the Navy's position.  And that alone should really be enough.

To your point on royalties, Gulf states get a share of offshore revenues in federal waters.  That was a bill championed by Senator Landrieu and signed into law by President Bush (though Texas already had a sweet deal because what is considered their state coastal waters stretches out further).  The rest of the MMS planning areas are subject to the original Outer Continental Shelf Lands Act (OCSLA).  And given the location of Lease 220, Congress would have to pass another amendment to OCSLA to allow Virginia to share in royalties.  Assuming that is, that this administration even allows the lease sale to go forward when it is scheduled in 2011.


[ Parent ]
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